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Introduction 2
Chapter 1. The hypothesis of the structure of Social Studies 3
eleven. The essence of the concept of hypothesis 3
1.2.Osnovnye approaches the definition of hypotheses 5
13. The essence of the concept of the social process 12
Chapter 2. Research forecast the participation in the elections as a social process 21
2.1. Description of the problem situation and the formulation of research problems 21
2.2. The subject, the object and objectives of the study 21
2.3 Nomination and formulation of hypotheses 22
2.4. Technique of formation of sample 23
2.5 Characteristics of research instruments 23
2.6. Description of the procedures for collecting primary information and the task of processing the primary information 24
2.7. The resulting part of the study 24
Conclusion 30
References 33
Applications 34
The structure of the course work consists of two chapters. The first chapter of the theoretical bases of forecasting in the social studies and processes. The second chapter of the prognosis the number of voters who will vote in the upcoming elections, estimated event-probability forecast.
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